Johnnie Moore

Hung Parliament?

Johnnie Moore

Johnnie Moore

I’m Johnnie Moore, and I help people work better together

In the Spectator, Alastair Heath voices his horror at the prospect of a hung parliament. (For non-Brits, that’s one in which no single party has a majority of seats – no jokes about members, please). His post is titled “Britain on the brink” and includes this:

It is a calculation that should fill all of us with an immense sense of dread: there is now a 72.2 percent chance of a hung parliament. Or so says Michael Saunders, Citigroup’s chief European economist and the one man in the City everybody listens to when it comes to the interaction between parliamentary politics and the financial markets. His model, which incorporates the standard data about the Westminster first-past-the post system, and into which he has fed all of the latest polls, also suggests that there is just a 6.2 percent chance of strong Tory majority, a 19.1 percent chance of a weak one and 2.5 percent chance of a Labour majority. Given the terrible state of our public finances, and Britain’s desperate need for a strong government with a clear commitment to fiscal reform, all of this is little short of disastrous.

I’m exasperated at the framing of a parliament with no dominant party as “hung”. Our electoral system has constantly allowed parties without any natural majority in the country to govern as if they do. If the electorate is genuinely divided, then let parliament reflect that and deal with it.

And I’m wary of this use of the word “strong ” to define the sort of government we should have. Does that mean strong as in: strong enough to drag us into crazy foreign adventures we later deeply regret? or strong enough to have created the economic hole in which we now apparently find ourselves? Sounds like “strong” just means “unhibited”.

And while I’m on the soapbox, are we seriously going to allow the folks in the City to guide us on what’s economically best for us?

Share Post

More Posts

Rambling thoughts on models

I went down to Surrey on Friday for long walk and pub lunch with Neil Perkin. We’d originally planned to run a workshop about agile

Planning as drowning

Antonio Dias offers a fascinating description of what goes wrong when drowning: What separates a swimmer from someone drowning is the way a swimmer acknowledges

Leadership as holding uncertainty

Viv picks out some nice ideas from Phelim McDermott on the subject of leadership. “We love the security of the illusion that someone is in

Concreting Complexity

I’ve been thinking about the urge to scale things lately – see here and here. I understand the concern with being able to effect big

The absurd

In moving house, I radically downsized my collection of books which I can highly recommend. I used to think I’d one day find a reason

Rewriting history…

Thanks to my Improvisation friend Kelsey Flynn I rambled into a letter cited in Margaret Cho’s Blog (go to Letter #1): Lately it seems like

Who says fun is dangerous?

I wanted to share this email doing the rounds this morning… AIRCRAFT MAINTENANCE After every flight Qantas pilots fill out a form called a gripe

Yes, and…

A quick ramble on the nature of paradox, inspired by a blog on the value of both fear of the new and curiosity

More Updates

Emotional debt

Releasing the hidden costs of pent up frustrations


Finding the aliveness below the surface of stuck

Johnnie Moore

Dumbing down

My mate Tony Quinlan makes a good point about storytelling as a change technique in organisations.Storytelling is a misnomer. It conjures up the image of a passive audience sitting listening

Johnnie Moore

On the edge of failure

Alexis Soloski suggests we shouldn’t be too bothered if the star of the show is replaced by an understudy. And it’s often been my experience that understudies perform as well

Johnnie Moore

Abroad thoughts from home

It’s a grey day in London so I’m maintaining my morale by thinking of Cable Bay in New Zealand. That’s where I’m spending Christmas and New Year with friends who

Johnnie Moore

Heading for the mountains

Well, judging by my writing style of yesterday, I need a holiday. So it’s good that I’m taking one. I’ve just booked my flights to Banff in the Rockies for