Dave Pollard does a great summary of Nassim Taleb’s thinking. I’m very interested in all the cognitive biases listed there; it’s so easy for us humans to think we know what’s going on when we’re really making up reality based on a few fragments of hard data.
Rambling thoughts on models
I went down to Surrey on Friday for long walk and pub lunch with Neil Perkin. We’d originally planned to run a workshop about agile