Robust uncertainty

Johnnie Moore

Johnnie Moore

I’m Johnnie Moore, and I help people work better together

Dave Snowden quotes Lofti Lotfi Zadeh*

As complexity increases precise statements lose their meaning, and meaningful statements lose their precision

Dave adds this observation:

The difficulty with measurement systems, and the whole MBA/consultancy approach to strategy with its emphasis on analysis at the expense of action is that it fails to recognise complexity and seeks precision at the cost of meaning. This is not to say that analysis is wrong, but the nature and focus of analysis is different.

Earlier this morning I was reflecting on the dilemma of holding uncertainty. One of the pitfalls is that it can often sound like a weak position, losing out in a fight to those offering “solutions” who seem to be certain. I sometimes talk about the need for robust uncertainty – being confident that there is no simple answer.

*I’ve not heard of Lofti Lotfi, so I googled and see he’s a fuzzy logician. UPDATE Sean Murphy adds this link in his comment below.

Share Post

More Posts

Noticing

The power of small gestures and noticing

Small p presence

Getting away from grandiosity or solemnity. small p presence is about being open to the life around us

Small i improv

Facilitation is often about small, subtle acts of noticing and experimenting

Enough

We’re bombarded with messages – can we create more space to think?

February 2025 update

People have been facilitated before: boredom, stillness, recovering attention and the undercurrents of life

More Updates

Emotional debt

Releasing the hidden costs of pent up frustrations

Aliveness

Finding the aliveness below the surface of stuck

Johnnie Moore

The practical action con

There’s a twitterstorm going on in the UK over the Digital Economy Bill (Mike Butcher’s post gives some background and resonates with how I feel about it). Part of what’s

Johnnie Moore

Quotes for the day

Both of these are lifted from Dave Snowden’s presentation on contextual complexity. Nasrudin found a weary falcon sitting one day on his window-sill. He had never seen a bird like

Johnnie Moore

Seeing from outside

Ethan Zuckerman blogs a talk by Jonah Lehrer at Poptech. When we’ve got hard problems we turn them over to experts. That might be the wrong thing to do Lehrer

Johnnie Moore

Waiting

Chris Corrigan has this great observation about waiting. The second kind of waiting is the one that really fascinates me. This is waiting when we are fully engaged in the