January 3, 2005

Flamingos and tipping points

This story came to me via Sue Glasser.

An ecologist studying flamingos on Kenya ’s Lake Nakuru has noticed an interesting phenomenon. Every year, when the time comes for migration, a few flamingos start the process by taking off from the lake. Since none of the others take any notice, they soon turn round and come back.

The next day they try again. This time a few others straggle along with them but, again, the vast majority just carry on with business as usual, so the pioneers return to the lake. This trend continues for a few days. Each time a few more birds join in but, since the thousands of others still take no notice, the migration plan is aborted.

Finally, one day, the same few birds take off again. This time however, the tiny increment to their number - maybe just one extra flamingo - is enough to tip the balance. The whole flock takes flight. The migration begins.

The author, Chris Johnstone, comments
If we apply this concept to our current predicament, it gives rise to an immediate sense of empowerment. Rather than dismissing a small action - ‘what difference will it make?’ - or the role of the individual - ‘what can I do about it?’ - we see that change is actually always propelled by the individual, or that a small action can be an instrumental part of the significant changes that arise through complex processes.

Seen from that perspective, we are the ones with the power - the power to cast ripples into the pond and become active nodes within a global network; the power to make positive change into a contagious impulse; the power to help build the sort of world we want for our children.

I'd not heard of Project Flamingo before - the site will take time to digest.

Posted by Johnnie Moore at 09:40 in Facilitation
Bookmark and Share Permalink
Trackbacks
URL for Trackbacks: http://www.johnniemoore.com/mt/minotaur.cgi/591.

Comments (2)

Comment feed (Site comment feed)
Chris Pearse says

Nice to have a positive 'tipping point' metaphor instead of the somewhat painful 'straw that broke the camel's back'. Sadly, it doesn't scan quite as well - any ideas?

Rob Paterson says

I still think that this is close. In nature, events tend to be recursive. The wave eats away at the shoreline and then breaks through. In Chaos theory it is the same. First of all key patterns are the same. The pattern of erosion of any system and then its transformation to the next is always the same. When the established system mis strong no amount of battering by the next affects it. 1968?

But if there is a weakness in the dyke, eventually a hole is made and then a breach. The dyke does not come down slowly - the Berlin Wall and the communist System?

I think that the more we look at natural models, the more accriate we will be.

The corporate system has been holed - the drug comapnies, Enron etc. The Healthcare and eductaion system have been holed - look at their results. We are losing trust in the political system.

My feeling is that there is a hole and the hole will become a breach. If we are the waves or the Flamingoes - it is our job to keep trying

Post a comment